dimanche 1 mars 2009

Après la crise financière, la guerre civile ? Préparez-vous à "quitter votre région"...


Après la crise financière, la guerre civile ? Préparez-vous à "quitter votre région"...

a crise économique et financière va-t-elle dégénérer en violentes explosions sociales ? En Europe, aux Etats-Unis ou au Japon, la guerre civile est-elle pour demain ? C'est le pronostic quelque peu affolant que dressent les experts du LEAP/Europe 2020, un groupe de réflexion européen, dans leur dernier bulletin daté de mi-février.

Dans cette édition où il est question que la crise entre, au quatrième trimestre 2009, dans une phase de "dislocation géopolitique mondiale", les experts prévoient un "sauve-qui-peut généralisé" dans les pays frappés par la crise. Cette débandade se conclurait ensuite par des logiques d'affrontements, autrement dit, par des semi-guerres civiles. "Si votre pays ou région est une zone où circulent massivement des armes à feu (parmi les grands pays, seuls les Etats-Unis sont dans ce cas), indique le LEAP, alors le meilleur moyen de faire face à la dislocation est de quitter votre région, si cela est possible."

Selon cette association, formée de contributeurs indépendants issus des milieux politiques et économiques et de professionnels européens de différents secteurs, les zones les plus dangereuses sont celles où le système de protection sociale est le plus faible.

La crise serait ainsi à même de susciter de violentes révoltes populaires dont l'intensité serait aggravée par une libre circulation des armes à feu. L'Amérique latine, mais aussi les Etats-Unis sont les zones les plus à risques. "Il y a 200 millions d'armes à feu en circulation aux Etats-Unis, et la violence sociale s'est déjà manifestée via les gangs", rappelle Franck Biancheri, à la tête de l'association. Les experts du LEAP décèlent d'ailleurs déjà des fuites de populations des Etats-Unis vers l'Europe, "où la dangerosité physique directe restera marginale", selon eux.

 

FAIRE DES RÉSERVES

 

Au-delà de ces conflits armés, le LEAP alerte sur les risques de pénuries possibles d'énergie, de nourriture, d'eau, dans les régions dépendantes de l'extérieur pour leur approvisionnement et conseille de faire des réserves. Cette perspective apocalyptique pourrait faire sourire si ce groupe de réflexion n'avait, dès février 2006, prédit avec une exactitude troublante le déclenchement et l'enchaînement de la crise. Il y a trois ans, l'association décrivait ainsi la venue d'une "crise systémique mondiale", initiée par une infection financière globale liée au surendettement américain, suivie de l'effondrement boursier, en particulier en Asie et aux Etats-Unis (de - 50 % à - 20 % en un an), puis de l'éclatement de l'ensemble des bulles immobilières mondiales au Royaume-Uni, en Espagne, en France et dans les pays émergents. Tout cela provoquant une récession en Europe et une "très Grande Dépression" aux Etats-Unis.

Doit-on en conclure que la crise mondiale peut se transformer en guerre mondiale ? "Les pronostics de LEAP sont extrêmes, mais la violence sociale pointe", admet Laurence Boone, économiste chez Barclays.

Reste un espoir, une "dernière chance" selon le LEAP, qui résiderait dans la capacité du G20, qui se réunira le 2 avril à Londres, à arrêter un plan d'action "convaincant et audacieux". Dans ce cas, le monde ne serait toutefois pas tiré d'affaire, puisque les experts ne manquent de rappeler que se profile aussi une sévère crise climatique...

Claire Gatinois





Financial Crisis Report


Financial Crisis Report

 

The U.S. economy shrank by 6.2 percent in fourth quarter 2008
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis


In our last issue, we reviewed what the Congressional Research Service--Congress's own nonpartisan think tank--has told both Democratic and Republican members of Congress about the shrinking U.S. economy. Today, let's speed read another of their recent reports, so you'll have the same knowledge members of Congress do.

This report addresses what the last report said was one of the three major causes of the current recession: the widespread turmoil in the financial markets. What has caused the financial markets to buckle and break? It's complicated, but the economists who work for all the members of Congress have made it as simple as they can.

What Happened

"In mid-2007, mounting losses in subprime mortgage markets triggered disturbances throughout the international financial system. The scale of the turmoil has been surprising, given the small size of the U.S. subprime market in relation to global financial markets."

"Nevertheless, a wide range of financial institutions have been affected adversely, many of which had little direct exposure to the subprime mortgage market."

"By September 2008, not a single 'bulge bracket' investment bank remained standing: they had either failed (Lehman Brothers), merged (Merrill Lynch and Bear Stearns), or converted themselves into commercial bank holding companies (Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley)."

Why Banks Are Special

"To understand how a relatively small market sector--U.S. subprime mortgages--could trigger such widespread chaos in global markets, it helps to consider ways that financial markets have evolved over decades."

"In the 1930s, the last time this level of turmoil occurred, widespread bank failures were followed by a long economic downturn. In response, Congress recognized that banks were special: their assets tended to be long-term loans and their liabilities were primarily short-term deposits."

"This meant that even sound and solvent banks could be destroyed if depositors sought to withdraw their money at the same time. Their assets were illiquid. Worse, liquidity problems were contagious: if one bank failed, depositors were likely to run on healthy banks."

"To stabilize the country's banking system, Congress instituted deposit insurance and gave bank regulators strong powers to limit the amount of risk that banks could take. Risky activities, like underwriting and the sale of corporate securities, were placed off limits."

When the Game Changed

"Over the years, however, bank services and bank risks migrated outside of the regulatory safety net. Wall Street securities firms, for example, developed the commercial paper market, which replaced much of banks' short-term corporate lending. Investment banks like Merrill Lynch were never subject to the same kind of safety and soundness regulation as commercial banks."

"Newer market participants, like hedge funds, were not subject to any regulation at all. Even regulated banks were gradually allowed to own securities and insurance businesses within a holding company structure, and they were allowed to hold highly risky speculative positions in off-balance sheet 'special purpose entities.'"

"Bank-like investment strategies, such as using leverage (or borrowed money) and financing long-term investments with short-term debt, became common outside the safety net provided by deposit insurance and strong regulation. As a result, nonbank institutions became vulnerable to runs. If markets lost confidence in them, their sources of funds could dry up. And these nonbank runs could also be contagious."

How Complexity Made It Worse

"Another notable development of the past two or three decades is the development of complex and hard-to-value financial instruments. For example, simple debt contracts like home mortgages were sold by the original lenders and packaged into bonds with a wide range of risk and reward characteristics. These bonds were often pooled again and sliced and diced into even more complex packages."

"Synthetic securities were created based on derivative instruments that replicate the price changes of an asset without requiring actual ownership of the asset itself. The relationship between the performance of an underlying financial asset and the complex security or derivative based on it was never simple, and under crisis conditions has proved to be completely unpredictable."

"Complexity reduces transparency. Neither regulators nor market participants can easily assess the true financial condition of firms that hold or trade these newer instruments. Since large parts of derivatives markets are unregulated, there is a global web of financial claims and counterclaims that is essentially invisible to financial supervisors and market participants alike."

Who Wanted More Risk

"The new finance was based on the ability to quantify and disaggregate risks in ways that were not possible before. As derivatives markets grew, a common view was that they made the financial system more efficient and more resilient to shocks: they let risks be transferred to those who were best able to understand them and who were willing to take on risk in search of profits."

"The benefits, in theory, are not confined to market participants. . . . The entire economy gains a valuable shock absorber. If hedge funds and other financial speculators take on credit risk, interest rate risk, currency risk, and so on, the core institutions of the financial system ought to be able to operate in a more stable and predictable environment."

"The crisis suggests that the system has not worked as hoped. Rather than use derivatives and other innovative financial instruments to shed risk, the core institutions have employed them in speculative investment strategies, increasing their risk. The risks of these strategies appeared tolerable, but now it appears that the underlying risk assumptions or models were deficient."

"There remains great uncertainty about the true value of certain financial instruments, especially those with complex structures or for which active trading markets do not exist."

Where the Safety Net Really Snapped

"The shock of losses from rising mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures, though serious, was probably not in itself sufficient to cause the crisis. It was also necessary that the financial system be structured in such a way as to multiply the initial shock and trigger dynamics that caused widening losses among financial institutions."

"Many of the losses occurring in diverse firms and markets have common features: the use of complex, hard-to-value financial instruments; large speculative positions underwritten by borrowed funds, or leverage; and the use of off-the-books entities to remove risky trading activities from the balance sheets of major financial institutions."

"Congress may view the social costs of failed financial speculation as sufficient to warrant new restrictions to reduce the incidence of losses that have systemwide impacts or to put the markets and the economy in a better position to weather such shocks. The Treasury has already proposed a sweeping restructuring of financial regulation."

--Michael Himick






Economie du désir et désir en économie 2

Economie du désir et désir en économie 2
Date: 
28/03/2009 14:00 - 16:30
Lieu: 
Paris

Economie du désir et désir en économie 2, Débat avec Frédéric Lordon - CNRS Bureau d'économie théorique et appliquée, André Orléan - CNRS Paris Jourdan Sciences Economiques et Bernard Stiegler - Président d'Ars Industrialis, Théâtre National de la Colline, 14 rue Malte Brun- 75020 Paris - Métro Gambetta, samedi 28 mars 2009, 14 heures - entrée libre

http://www.facebook.com/l.php?u=http://www.arsindustrialis.org%2Feconomie-du-d%25C3%25A9sir-et-d%25C3%25A9sir-en-%25C3%25A9conomie-2
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vendredi 27 février 2009

Le défi de la crise par Futuribles

> Le défi de la crise par Futuribles
>
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> "
>

The Kosmos Team is Growing...



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Dear Kosmos Reader,

Kosmos has been on the move! Like many of you, we are developing new ideas and technology that include you as we develop Phase II of our mission to build a new civilization and world community out of the ashes of the old. We are busy identifying and working with those who have awakened to the task and are seeding the ways of being and organizing for our common future. Phase II of our work involves creating a dynamic interactive community. We invite you to meet the Kosmos team that is making this possible.
 
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mercredi 25 février 2009

TEE SHIRT : UNIVERSITE INTEGRALE


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mardi 24 février 2009

« Réconcilier l'Islam et la Science Moderne. l'esprit d'Averroès »

 
Nous voulons attirer  votre attention   sur l'ouvrage « Réconcilier l'Islam et la Science Moderne. l'esprit d'Averroès » par Nidhal Guessoum, astrophysicien, professeur à l'université américaine de Sharjah (Emirats Arabes Unis). et membre du conseil scientifique de l'UIP.
 
C'est un ouvrage d'une grande importance,  en ce que qu'il développe de l'intérieur de l'islam une vision du monde compatible à la fois avec les résultats de la science moderne et les fondamentaux de cette grande tradition.
 
Vous trouverez une présentation du livre sur le lien suivant, http://www.presses-renaissance.fr/livre.php?ean13=9782750904708. Une très belle  interview de l'auteur   a été publiée par le Monde,  le présentant comme une personnalité de pointe pour la lutte contre le créationnisme en Islam ( voir lien: http://www.uip.edu/uip/spip.php?article666) .

Dans le prolongement de cela, une émission sera diffusée  sur RFI à Paris sur 89 FM, le dimanche 22 février de 10H30 à 11 heures disponible sur internet sur le site rfi.fr,  pendant une semaine à partir du dimanche 22 février après-midi. 
 
Cette émission regroupera le père Thierry Magnin, Jean Staune,  qui dirige la collection « Science et quête de sens »  dans laquelle est paru cet ouvrage et Nidhal Guessoum.
 





5 083 visites, provenant de 78 pays/territoires.


LE SITE DE L'UNIVERSITE INTEGRALE  : 5 083 visites, provenant de 78 pays/territoires.




Integral Life, now has a page on Facebook

We just wanted to let you know that Integral Life now has a page on Facebook, where we feature tons of free audio, video, and written content, updated several times per day. Check it out!

http://www.facebook.com/pages/Integral-Life/51300016841

Some of you may already be part of the Integral Life Facebook group, but this is slightly different. Facebook now has an application called 'Pages' that lets businesses, brands, etc have a more robust presence. Unlike the Facebook group, this page acts like a member profile notifying the 'fans' anytime a new post is made. 

This Integral Life Facebook page is a great way to stay connected to the larger integral movement, and to help fan the flames of conscious transformation through the rest of the world.

We hope you can join us!

http://www.facebook.com/pages/Integral-Life/51300016841

Warmth,
Corey W. deVos





lundi 23 février 2009

INTEGRAL POLITIC

Written by Corey W. deVos


While surveying the current American political landscape, it can be easy to feel as though the country is divided into two radically opposing populations: the Left and the Right. When watching the speeches, interviews, and debates on either side of the fence, there is such an incredible difference between the tone, rhetoric, and messages coming from the two major political parties that many pundits have commented that it is as though we live in two utterly different Americas, with very little overlap between the two. But the truth is, we do not live in two Americas, but in a single America composed of at least four or five different sets of values, all crammed together into a two-party political system that is becoming increasingly incapable of representing these wildly different perspectives. Many are beginning to recognize this systemic inadequacy and are searching for a genuinely Integral "Third Way" politics—a new way to break free from the restrictions of such rigidly calcified party lines, transcending both sides of the partisan divide, including the very best of both parties, without resorting to the effete compromise of mere centrism that has been typical of the political "Third Way" to date.

Everyone knows about the difference between Democrat and Republican, Left and Right, Liberal and Conservative. But as ubiquitous as these distinctions is, no one has been able to give a theoretical explanation of what drives this split in a way that holds up to careful inspection—that is, until an Integral approach was applied to politics. Ken reveals what appears to be the key to a major piece of the puzzle: camps on the political Left attribute the fundamental cause of human suffering to external causes, whereas camps on the political Right attribute the fundamental cause of human suffering to internal causes.

For example, why are people homeless? Left: because they are downtrodden, they lack opportunities, they are victims of the system—all external forces. Right: because they have no work ethic, they have no family/religious values, no internalized sense of shame—all internal forces. Of course, you can be an internalist or externalist at different altitudes of development, and historically these have changed over time, as we've already seen. But what hasn't changed throughout it all? You guessed it: Right is still internalist, and Left is still externalist. And if we hope to have any sort of comprehensive approach to politics and the problems of the world, it is absolutely essential that we include the revelations of both, without limiting ourselves to the tyranny of either.

In order to fully understand and appreciate the different sets of values and beliefs that make up the flesh and bones of America, we must allow ourselves to step back and take a developmental view of American culture—one which can make sense of the full spectrum of perspectives that are currently at play in the political arena, while also being able to account for America's rich political history as the oldest functioning democracy in the world.

The premise of this sort of developmental view is simple: people evolve. As people evolve, they move through a particular sequence of stages, a sequence that has been long studied by Western psychologists and has been found to be essentially universal to every culture in the world. Taking a developmental view accounts for the "multiple intelligences" every human being possesses, including cognitive development and intelligence, values and beliefs, charisma and interpersonal skills, etc. There is a long list of these different sorts of intelligences, each growing along its own particular developmental track, but there is enough congruence in their overall development that we can begin to take a meta-view of our growth and development by using a very simple concept known as "Altitude." Altitude is essentially a barometer of overall human growth, which uses the color spectrum to denote several major stages of development—each of which has slowly evolved over the course of human history, though still very much at play in today's world. It is important to note that, while we represent each major level with this simple color code, the concept of "Altitude" is the direct result of taking dozens of developmental models together (such as those suggested by Piaget, Kohlberg, Graves, Gilligan, Maslow, Gebser, Cook-Greuter, Fowler, etc.) and carefully analyzing the common developmental structures shared by each of these bodies of research.



Magenta (egocentric, magic): Magenta Altitude began about 50,000 years ago, and tends to be the home of egocentric drives, a magical worldview, and impulsiveness. It is expressed through magic/animism, kin-spirits, and such. Young children primarily operate with a magenta worldview. Magenta in any line of development is fundamental, or "square one" for any and all new tasks. Magenta emotions and cognition can be seen driving such cultural phenomena as superhero-themed comic books or movies.

Red (ego- to ethnocentric, egoic): The Red Altitude began about 10,000 years ago, and is the marker of egocentric drives based on power, where "might makes right," where aggression rules, and where there is a limited capacity to take the role of an "other." Red impulses are classically seen in grade school and early high school, where bullying, teasing, and the like are the norm. Red motivations can be seen culturally in Ultimate Fighting contests, which have no fixed rules (fixed rules come into being at the next Altitude, Amber), teenage rebellion and the movies that cater to it (The Fast and the Furious), gang dynamics (where the stronger rule the weaker), and the like.

Amber (ethnocentric, mythic): The Amber Altitude began about 5,000 years ago, and indicates a worldview that is traditionalist and mythic in nature—and mythic worldviews are almost always held as absolute (this stage of development is often called absolutistic). Instead of "might makes right," amber ethics are more oriented to the group, but one that extends only to "my" group. Grade school and high school kids usually exhibit amber motivations to "fit in." Amber ethics help to control the impulsiveness and narcissism of red. Culturally, amber worldviews can be seen in fundamentalism (my God is right no matter what); extreme patriotism (my country is right no matter what); and ethnocentrism (my people are right no matter what).

Orange (worldcentric, rational): The Orange Altitude began about 500 years ago, during the period known as the European Enlightenment. In an orange worldview, the individual begins to move away from the amber conformity that reifies the views of one's religion, nation, or tribe. The orange worldview often begins to emerge in late high school, college, or adulthood. Culturally, the orange worldview realizes that "truth is not delivered; it is discovered," spurring the great advances of science and formal rationality. Orange ethics begin to embrace all people, "We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal...." Ayn Rand's Objectivism, the US Bill of Rights, and many of the laws written to protect individual freedom all flow from an orange worldview.

Green (worldcentric, pluralistic): The Green Altitude began roughly 150 years ago, though it came into its fullest expression during the 1960's. Green worldviews are marked by pluralism, or the ability to see that there are multiple ways of seeing reality. If orange sees universal truths ("All men are created equal"), green sees multiple universal truths—different universals for different cultures. Green ethics continue, and radically broaden, the movement to embrace all people. A green statement might read, "We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all people are created equal, regardless of race, gender, class...." Green ethics have given birth to the civil rights, feminist, and gay rights movements, as well as environmentalism.

The green worldview's multiple perspectives give it room for greater compassion, idealism, and involvement, in its healthy form. Such qualities are seen by organizations such as the Sierra Club, Amnesty International, Union of Concerned Scientists, and Doctors Without Borders. In its unhealthy form green worldviews can lead to extreme relativism, where all beliefs are seen as relative and equally true, which can in turn lead to the nihilism, narcissism, irony, and meaninglessness exhibited by many of today's intellectuals, academics, and trend-setters... not to mention another "lost" generation of students.



Teal (worldcentric to "kosmocentric," integral): The Teal Altitude marks the beginning of an integral worldview, where pluralism and relativism are transcended and included into a more systematic whole. The transition from green to teal is also known as the transition from "1st-tier" values to "2nd-tier" values, the most immediate difference being the fact that each "1st-tier" value thinks it is the only truly correct value, while "2nd-tier" values recognize the importance of all preceding stages of development. Thus, the teal worldview honors the insights of the green worldview, but places it into a larger context that allows for healthy hierarchies, and healthy value distinctions.

Perhaps most important, a teal worldview begins to see the process of development itself, acknowledging that each one of the previous stages (magenta through green) has an important role to play in the human experience. Teal consciousness sees that each of the previous stages reveals an important truth, and pulls them all together and integrates them without trying to change them to "be more like me," and without resorting to extreme cultural relativism ("all are equal"). Teal worldviews do more than just see all points of view (that's a green worldview)—it can see and honor them, but also critically evaluate them.

Turquoise ("kosmocentric," integral): Turquoise is a mature integral view, one that sees not only healthy hierarchy but also the various quadrants of human knowledge, expression, and inquiry (at the minimum: I, we, and it). While teal worldviews tend to be secular, turquoise is the first to begin to integrate Spirit as a living force in the world (manifested through any or all of the 3 Faces of God: "I"—the "No self" or "witness" of Buddhism; "we/thou"—the "great other" of Christianity, Judaism, Hindusm, Islam, etc.; or "it"—the "Web of Life" seen in Taoism, Pantheism, etc.).


We can begin to see how the two major political parties have largely become amalgams of several of these stages. In the early history of politics—during the French Revolution—the Right was largely comprised of Amber traditionalists, while the Right were mostly Orange modernists. But over 200 years later, the world has become considerably more complex, having experienced the emergence of an entirely new stage of political consciousness: namely Green pluralism, otherwise known as post-modernism, during the mid 20th century. As such, Republicans now typically represent both Amber traditional values and "Wall Street" or "Ayn Rand" Orange values, while Democrats represent both Orange and Green forms of liberalism—two very different modes of liberalism that have thus far been extremely difficult for the Democratic party to unify.

If we truly want to begin creating some form of Integral "Third Way" politics, it is going to depend entirely upon leaders who have themselves achieved "2nd-tier" values, as it is only from the teal and turquoise stages of development that we can authentically honor and incorporate the entire spectrum of development. To put it another way, we need a form of "enlightened leadership" to enact decisions unfettered by partisan politics, for the benefit of the whole, rather than pandering to the few.

There is no sense in parsing words—what we are talking about here is a very real sort of elitism, a developmental elitism in which leaders more evolved than the majority of the populace are elected to office, for exactly that reason. Of course, it is an "elitism to which everyone is invited," meaning that anyone can continue to evolve to the highest reaches of human potential, despite the fact that so few do. But merely mentioning the word "elitism" puts us on very dangerous ground in today's political atmosphere, in which voters seem more interested in electing leaders they can "have a beer with" than ones with the moral, intellectual, and perspectival sophistication required to heal the tremendous cultural schisms that exist in America, and in the rest of the world.

Considering this spectrum of human development, it can be easy for liberals to assert that their values are "higher" or "more evolved" than those of typical conservatives—and in certain ways, they would be right. However, one of the fatal flaws of "1st-tier" stages is the complete inability to include the values of other 1st-tier stages, which makes liberals arguably more developed than most conservatives, but equally partial in their own values. As any genuine "Third Way" politics seeks to incorporate the very best of both parties, it must be inherently integral by nature, as only Integral consciousness can recognize the significance of development itself—and it is only by fully acknowledging human development, and accounting for the entire spectrum of consciousness in our conceptions of the world, that we can begin pulling together the many fundamental contributions that both the American Right and Left have made to the world.

TAGS 2009 POUR ETRE UN CREATIF INNOVATEUR

Duringer René a envoyé un message aux membres de Business Anti Crise.

--------------------
Objet : TAGS 2009 POUR ETRE UN CREATIF INNOVATEUR

AUTANT DE TAGS POUR VOUS INSPIRER DANS DES BUSINESS ANTI CRISE !!!
1. OSE / OSER / OSE / OSANT / AUDACE / COURAGE / CRAN
2. BON SENS / CULBUTEUR D'EVIDENCES / MALIN
3. RESPONSABLE / HOPEFUL (OPTIMISTE, JOIE DE VIE, ESPOIRS) /
RELIANCE / BIENVEILLANCE / SINCERE / CONCERNE / REGARDANT
4. METISSAGE ET AUTHENTICITE D'ETRE / ANCESTRAUX REVISITES :
RECONCILIATION / RETOUR AUX SOURCES DE LA SAGESSE HUMAINE ET A SES
RITES / AUTHENTIQUE
5. DECALANT / VISIONNAIRE / MARCHE DEVANT / PROSPECTIF / AVANCE /
CONTRE COURANT
6. FAIRE DU BEAU ET SAVOIR LE PARTAGER / SENSIBLES A SES EMOTIONS ET A
CELLE DU PUBLIC / CURIEUR / CULTIVER JUSQU'AUX LIMITES / HYPER-
ESTHETIQUE
7. VOCABULAIRE / SEMANTIQUE
8. CREER LES CONDITIONS HUMAINES, SOCIALES, CULTURELLES,
ORGANISATIONNELS ET SPATIALES ET TEMPORELLES AFIN QUE PUISSE EMERGER
L'INTELLIGENCE COLLECTIVE, CONFIANCE ET RESPECT.
9. APPROCHE UTILISATEUR
10. ECO-CONCEPTION
11. WEB-REALITE / LIVING LABS / UBIQUITY CITY / TECHNOS DE L'INFO
RELATIONNELLE (TIR)
12. DESTRUCTION / RE-DESTRUCTION / SERIOUS PLAY & DISRUPTION (VOIR
ARTICLE SUR PLAY FACTORY D'ISAO HOSOE)
13. ESPRIT HOBO (ET NON BOBO)
14. ALTERMODERNITE
15. TOTAL TOLERANCE. ECOUTER L'AUTRE, MOBILISER TOUTE SA CURIOSITE,
AFIN DE CREER LA RELATION ET DE SE COMPRENDRE ET DE RESPECTER ET DE SE
CROSS FERTILISER. PARTAGER, EXPERIMENTER ET CREER ENSEMBLE. INNOVER
ENSEMBLE.

De véritables raisons d'espérer

Innovation, pragmatisme, entrepreneu-riat, esprit d'équipe, opportunités, progrès... sont les maîtres-mots prononcés au cours des différentes interventions lors de la Convention du MEDEF. Des propos qui laissent entrevoir de véritables raisons d'espérer, avec lucidité. Parmi celles-ci : la nouvelle donne américaine et internationale qui découle de l'élection de Barack Obama, la valorisation du capital humain, les nouveaux leviers financiers et l'innovation sous toutes ses formes.

   Voir les vidéos "Les raisons d'espérer"

Avant d'identifier les remèdes pour sortir de la crise actuelle, il faut en déterminer les causes.

Avant d'identifier les remèdes pour sortir de la crise actuelle, il faut en déterminer les causes. 
Jacques Marseille, qui observe que la crise actuelle correspond à la périodicité du cycle de crises (1973, 1979-80, 1987, 1993, 2000-2001), estime que "la folie des hommes est l'explication majeure des crises" : une bourse qui dépasse la raison (sur un siècle, elle a progressé de 3,3% par an inflation déduite, tandis que le PIB n'a progressé que de 2,8%) ; l'immobilier qui a progressé de 120 % dans les dix dernières années, tandis que le revenu disponible des ménages n'a augmenté que de 30% ; les rémunérations les plus élevées qui sont passées, ces trente dernières années, de 40 fois à 400 fois les revenus les moins élevés.
Une intervention complétée par une démonstration pédagogique des mécanismes de la crise financière par Marie-Christine Coisne, présidente de la Commission fiscalité du MEDEF.

  Voir les interventions de Jacques Marseille et de Marie-Christine Coisne